Sport Picks
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio El Fortin, Bahía Blanca 
Match Events
10'
10'
Almada J.
10'
10'
Gorgerino C.
30'
30'
Chiozza L.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Villa Mitre and Alvarado finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvarado
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Alvarado carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Villa Mitre taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 20%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa Mitre | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
0:0
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Villa Mitre
1:1
Mar 4, 2019 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Villa Mitre
1:1
Nov 7, 2018 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villa Mitre 42 / 100
Alvarado 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villa Mitre Alvarado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Villa Mitre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Villa Mitre found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).
Alvarado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Villa Mitre VS Alvarado
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Villa Mitre
(Home) 20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Kimberley
13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0 Villa Mitre
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
22 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 0 Villa Mitre
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Alvarado
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Kimberley
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Alvarado
08 Aug
Villa Mitre
1 : 1 Cipolletti
12 Jul
Villa Mitre
3 : 0 Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 3
Alvarado
(Away) 04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2 Alvarado
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Alvarado
08 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 2 Alvarado
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
