Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Mitre vs Santamarina

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio El Fortin
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Labaroni M.
54'
Sub
San Martin B. In: Gomez J.
Out: San Martin B.
54'
Sub
Ijurco M. In: Franco N.
Out: Ijurco M.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Villa Mitre and Santamarina finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Villa Mitre
6%
Draws
4%
Santamarina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villa Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santamarina haven't matched Villa Mitre's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Villa Mitre a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 68%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Mitre Santamarina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Villa Mitre
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Santamarina
0:0
May 18, 2025 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Santamarina
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Villa Mitre
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Villa Mitre
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Mitre 95 / 100
Santamarina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Mitre Santamarina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Mitre went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Villa Mitre scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Santamarina has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villa Mitre VS Santamarina
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512