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Villa Nova AC vs Coimbra Esporte Clube Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Freitas P.
11' Event
Wesley
51' Event
Souza dos Santos V.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Villa Nova AC and Coimbra Esporte Clube finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Nova AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Villa Nova AC
30%
Draws
23%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Nova AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Villa Nova AC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 68%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Nova AC Coimbra Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.53 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mineiro 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Villa Nova AC
2:1
Jun 13, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
3:2
Jul 30, 2020 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Nova AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wesley
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Coimbra Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza dos Santos V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos Eduardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Nova AC 86 / 100
Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Nova AC Coimbra Esporte Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Nova AC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Villa Nova AC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Coimbra Esporte Clube let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Villa Nova AC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Nova AC VS Coimbra Esporte Clube
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Nova AC

(Home)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Aymores
3 : 3
Villa Nova AC
02 Aug
Villa Nova AC
1 : 0
Aymores
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
Page 1 of 6

Coimbra Esporte Clube

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Coimbra Esporte Clube
24 Jun
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Aymores
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)