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Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Adiel
50' Event
Luiz Felipe
52' Event
Matheus Batista

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Villa Nova AC and Ipatinga finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Nova AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Villa Nova AC
20%
Draws
23%
Ipatinga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa Nova AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villa Nova AC come out ahead of Ipatinga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Villa Nova AC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Villa Nova AC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 20%
Ipatinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Nova AC Ipatinga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
6:0
Jun 17, 2026 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Villa Nova AC
0:1
Feb 8, 2024 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
3:3
Feb 22, 2023 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
3:2
Aug 11, 2021 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Nova AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Adiel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Felipe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Ipatinga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Nova AC 85 / 100
Ipatinga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Nova AC Ipatinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Nova AC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Villa Nova AC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ipatinga conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Villa Nova AC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Nova AC VS Ipatinga
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Nova AC

(Home)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Aymores
3 : 3
Villa Nova AC
02 Aug
Villa Nova AC
1 : 0
Aymores
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
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Ipatinga

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)