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Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Adiel
50' Event
Luiz Felipe
52' Event
Matheus Batista

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Villa Nova AC and Ipatinga finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Nova AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Villa Nova AC
6%
Draws
4%
Ipatinga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villa Nova AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Villa Nova AC's 2 goals per match outpaces what Ipatinga have produced (0.38).
  • Win probability leans Villa Nova AC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Villa Nova AC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 20%
Ipatinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Nova AC Ipatinga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
6:0
Jun 17, 2026 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Villa Nova AC
0:1
Feb 8, 2024 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
3:3
Feb 22, 2023 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
3:2
Aug 11, 2021 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Ipatinga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Nova AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Adiel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Felipe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ipatinga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Nova AC 85 / 100
Ipatinga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Nova AC Ipatinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Villa Nova AC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ipatinga conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Villa Nova AC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Nova AC VS Ipatinga
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Nova AC

(Home)
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
04 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Aymores
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
Page 1 of 6

Ipatinga

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba1072117:923
2Boa1052312:917
3Mamore103348:912
4Patrocinense103349:912
5Guarani-MG1033412:1412
6Caldense101366:146
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Valeriodoce105509:420
2Democrata SL1052319:1017
3Aymores1044217:916
4Villa Nova AC1042417:1214
5Coimbra Esporte Clube1024412:1210
6Ipatinga101186:33-2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)