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Villa Real U20 vs Itabirito U20

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
de Azevedo D.
49' Event
Joao Pires
70' Event
Dudu
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro U20 game between Villa Real U20 and Itabirito U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Villa Real U20
11%
Draws
80%
Itabirito U20
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Itabirito U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Villa Real U20 haven't matched Itabirito U20's recent run of results.
  • Itabirito U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Mineiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Villa Real U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Itabirito U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Real U20 Itabirito U20
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Mineiro U20
Villa Real U20 vs Itabirito U20
1:2
Jul 6, 2025 Mineiro U20
Itabirito U20 vs Villa Real U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Real U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Itabirito U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer de Azevedo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pires
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Real U20 12 / 100
Itabirito U20 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Real U20 Itabirito U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Villa Real U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Villa Real U20 scored in 41% of their last 22 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villa Real U20 VS Itabirito U20
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG U201080235:724
2Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201071221:1322
3Athletic Club U201061320:1119
4Nacional de Muriae U201054116:1019
5Itabirito U201052312:1317
6America MG U201051423:1316
7Betim FC U201043314:1815
8Coimbra Sports U20104247:714
9Boston City U201042412:1614
10Social U201033415:1712
11Inter de Minas U201033410:1512
12Sao Joao del Rei U201016311:139
13Villa Real U20101454:147
14Minas Boca U20101368:266
15Uberabinha U20100195:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201071221:1322
2Itabirito U201052312:1317
3Coimbra Sports U20104247:714
4Social U201033415:1712
5Sao Joao del Rei U201016311:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Athletic Club U201061320:1119
2America MG U201051423:1316
3Villa Real U20101454:147
4Minas Boca U20101368:266
5Uberabinha U20100195:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG U201080235:724
2Nacional de Muriae U201054116:1019
3Betim FC U201043314:1815
4Boston City U201042412:1614
5Inter de Minas U201033410:1512