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Villa Real vs Pocos de Caldas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Villa Real and Pocos de Caldas finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Villa Real
20%
Draws
29%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Real carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 17%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Real Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Pocos de Caldas
2:0
Sep 18, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
0:4
Oct 15, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Pocos de Caldas
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
1:0
Sep 17, 2022 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Real 31 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Real Pocos de Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocos de Caldas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocos de Caldas let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Villa Real remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pocos de Caldas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Real VS Pocos de Caldas
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Real

(Home)
19 Oct
Villa Real
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0
Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0
Villa Real
Page 1 of 6

Pocos de Caldas

(Away)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)