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Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tres Coracoes in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tres Coracoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Villa Real
22%
Draws
18%
Tres Coracoes
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Villa Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villa Real lately — more wins on the board than Tres Coracoes.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Villa Real taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 19%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Real Tres Coracoes
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:3
Sep 15, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:0
Aug 27, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
0:1
Aug 28, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Real 58 / 100
Tres Coracoes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Real Tres Coracoes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tres Coracoes has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Villa Real went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tres Coracoes's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Villa Real's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Real VS Tres Coracoes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163