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Villa Santa Brigida vs Atletico Paso Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Perez J. M.
26' Event
Quintero G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Villa Santa Brigida
30%
Draws
16%
Atletico Paso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Santa Brigida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villa Santa Brigida lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Paso.
  • Villa Santa Brigida are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Santa Brigida Atletico Paso
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 14
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.19 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Atletico Paso
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:0
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:2
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Atletico Paso
4:0
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Atletico Paso Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Santa Brigida 42 / 100
Atletico Paso 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Santa Brigida Atletico Paso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Santa Brigida scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Villa Santa Brigida stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Atletico Paso registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Santa Brigida VS Atletico Paso
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Santa Brigida

(Home)
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0
Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0
Anaza
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
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Atletico Paso

(Away)
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2
Atletico Paso
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)