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Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Santa Ursula

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villa Santa Brigida play CD Santa Ursula in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villa Santa Brigida averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. CD Santa Ursula averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Villa Santa Brigida won 2, CD Santa Ursula won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 22, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Villa Santa Brigida and 1.06 for CD Santa Ursula. This points to a Villa Santa Brigida double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Villa Santa Brigida
35%
Draws
28%
CD Santa Ursula
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villa Santa Brigida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Santa Brigida picked up more points recently compared to CD Santa Ursula.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 22%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Santa Brigida CD Santa Ursula
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.18 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Santa Ursula
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Santa Ursula
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Santa Ursula
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CD Santa Ursula Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrios J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Santa Brigida 38 / 100
CD Santa Ursula 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Santa Brigida CD Santa Ursula

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villa Santa Brigida or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villa Santa Brigida attacking → ← attacking CD Santa Ursula

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Santa Brigida scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

CD Santa Ursula let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Villa Santa Brigida went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Santa Ursula lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 40
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Las Palmas B342210266:1776
2UD San Fernando342110358:2073
3Tamaraceite34189748:2963
4Ibarra341851149:4059
5Mensajero341681050:3756
6Lanzarote341671156:3355
7Panaderia3413111045:3950
8CD Marino3412111143:4547
9Arucas341291338:3645
10San Bartolome341015943:3545
11Villa Santa Brigida3410111334:4241
12Herbania3410101433:4140
13CD Santa Ursula3410101429:4240
14San Miguel341071736:5437
15CD Buzanada34952027:5432
16Estrella34791830:5730
17Los Llanos34772025:5228
18Union Viera343102128:6519