Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Santa Ursula

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Perez J. M.
47' Event
Barrios J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Villa Santa Brigida
20%
Draws
40%
CD Santa Ursula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Santa Brigida have won more games recently than CD Santa Ursula.
  • Win probability leans CD Santa Ursula's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 23%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Santa Brigida CD Santa Ursula
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.09 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Santa Ursula
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Santa Ursula
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs CD Santa Ursula
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

CD Santa Ursula Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrios J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Santa Brigida 29 / 100
CD Santa Ursula 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Santa Brigida CD Santa Ursula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Ursula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Santa Brigida found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: CD Santa Ursula conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Villa Santa Brigida stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Villa Santa Brigida VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Santa Brigida

(Home)
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0
Anaza
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
01 May
Villa Santa Brigida
3 : 0
CD Marino
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CD Santa Ursula

(Away)
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1
San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)