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Villa Teresa vs Atenas

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Sanchez C.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Britos M.
82' Event
Amoroso V.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2021 game between Villa Teresa and Atenas finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atenas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Villa Teresa
35%
Draws
34%
Atenas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Atenas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Villa Teresa Clean Sheet 16%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Teresa Atenas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2021 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Villa Teresa
0:1
Jul 29, 2021 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Atenas
0:3
Nov 16, 2020 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Atenas
1:1
Sep 18, 2020 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Villa Teresa
2:1
Oct 4, 2019 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Villa Teresa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Teresa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Britos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amoroso V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Teresa 36 / 100
Atenas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Teresa Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atenas let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Villa Teresa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Villa Teresa's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atenas
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Teresa

(Home)
11 Dec
La Luz
4 : 1
Villa Teresa
06 Dec
Villa Teresa
2 : 0
La Luz
24 Nov
Villa Teresa
1 : 1
Albion
17 Nov
Villa Teresa
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
09 Nov
Atenas
0 : 1
Villa Teresa
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Atenas

(Away)
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
06 Sept
Atenas
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)