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Villa Teresa vs Danubio

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Acevedo L.
42' Event
Hernandez E.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2021 game between Villa Teresa and Danubio finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Danubio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Villa Teresa
35%
Draws
18%
Danubio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villa Teresa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Danubio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Villa Teresa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Danubio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Villa Teresa Clean Sheet 68%
Danubio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Teresa Danubio
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.73 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2021 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Danubio
0:2
Jun 26, 2021 Segunda Division
Danubio vs Villa Teresa
1:0
May 14, 2016 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Villa Teresa
1:1
Nov 7, 2015 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Villa Teresa vs Danubio
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Teresa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Danubio Compare

Top Goalscorer Acevedo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Teresa 68 / 100
Danubio 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Teresa Danubio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Teresa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Danubio let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Villa Teresa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Villa Teresa's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Danubio
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Teresa

(Home)
11 Dec
La Luz
4 : 1
Villa Teresa
06 Dec
Villa Teresa
2 : 0
La Luz
24 Nov
Villa Teresa
1 : 1
Albion
17 Nov
Villa Teresa
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
09 Nov
Atenas
0 : 1
Villa Teresa
Page 1 of 6

Danubio

(Away)
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
24 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Penarol
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Wanderers
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
05 Sept
Danubio
0 : 4
Penarol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)