Sport Picks
Villa vs Mbarara City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uganda
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Villa host Mbarara City in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Mbarara City have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Villa have conceded 0.48 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Villa have won 5 to Mbarara City's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.63, favoring Villa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Villa come out ahead of Mbarara City on wins alone.
- Villa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Villa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.48 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Villa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Villa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Mbarara City conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Villa
(Home)Mbarara City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Kampala City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 12 | Express FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 13 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 14 | Uganda Revenue | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
