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Villa Valle vs AC Milan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Benzoni D.
78' Event
Ossola L.
90' Event
Pandolfi F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Villa Valle and AC Milan U23 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Milan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Villa Valle
20%
Draws
48%
AC Milan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Milan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Milan U23 come out ahead of Villa Valle on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Villa Valle taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 10%
AC Milan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Valle AC Milan U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.21 2
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs AC Milan U23
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Milan U23 vs Villa Valle
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs AC Milan U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Benzoni D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AC Milan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ossola L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pandolfi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Valle 40 / 100
AC Milan U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Valle AC Milan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Villa Valle scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

AC Milan U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Villa Valle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Valle VS AC Milan U23
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Valle

(Home)
07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1
Tritium
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
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AC Milan U23

(Away)
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)