Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Sanseverino G.
30'
30'
Duguet G.
62'
62'
Perrotti M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Villa Valle and Caronnese finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Valle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Villa Valle carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Villa Valle's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa Valle | Caronnese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Caronnese
2:2
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Villa Valle
2:2
Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Caronnese
0:1
Dec 8, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Villa Valle
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villa Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanseverino G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perrotti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Caronnese Compare
Top Goalscorer Duguet G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Piraccini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villa Valle 95 / 100
Caronnese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villa Valle Caronnese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caronnese has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Caronnese registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Villa Valle scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Villa Valle VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villa Valle
(Home) 27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3 Oltrepo
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
29 Mar
Villa Valle
0 : 1 USD Casatese
Page 1 of 3
Caronnese
(Away) 07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3 Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
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30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
19 Mar
Brusaporto
2 : 0 Caronnese
05 Mar
Villa Valle
2 : 2 Caronnese
19 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0 Caronnese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lumezzane | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 67:20 | 77 |
| 2 | Alcione Milano | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 67:31 | 71 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 38:26 | 59 |
| 4 | Arconatese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 47:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Franciacorta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 47:38 | 49 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Varesina | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Villa Valle | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 30:33 | 39 |
| 13 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 42:56 | 38 |
| 15 | Breno | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 35:50 | 37 |
| 16 | Varese FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:46 | 33 |
| 17 | Sona | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:56 | 27 |
| 18 | Caronnese | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 24:64 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)
