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Villa Valle vs Franciacorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Cappelluzzo P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Villa Valle and Franciacorta finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Franciacorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Villa Valle
30%
Draws
33%
Franciacorta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Valle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Villa Valle are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Valle Franciacorta
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 13 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.22 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Franciacorta
0:1
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Villa Valle
0:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Franciacorta
6:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Villa Valle
1:0
Jun 6, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Villa Valle
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Valle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Franciacorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Cappelluzzo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Valle 59 / 100
Franciacorta 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Valle Franciacorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Valle found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

Franciacorta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Villa Valle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Valle VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Valle

(Home)
07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1
Tritium
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 8

Franciacorta

(Away)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)