Sport Picks
Match Events
90'
90'
Fischetti L.
AI Match Summary
Olginatese in this Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olginatese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Villa Valle lately — more wins on the board than Olginatese.
- Villa Valle are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Olginatese have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 20%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa Valle | Olginatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Olginatese
0:1
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Villa Valle
1:0
Jan 6, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Olginatese
0:1
Sep 16, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Villa Valle
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villa Valle Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Olginatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Fischetti L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villa Valle 36 / 100
Olginatese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villa Valle Olginatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olginatese has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Villa Valle scored in 66% of their last 41 games.
Villa Valle has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Villa Valle VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villa Valle
(Home) 16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3 Oltrepo
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12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3 Oltrepo
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
29 Mar
Villa Valle
0 : 1 USD Casatese
15 Mar
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Pavia
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Olginatese
(Away) 15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1 Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2 Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3 Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2 Franciacorta
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08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1 Olginatese
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3 Olginatese
09 Apr
Sangiuliano City
2 : 0 Olginatese
30 Mar
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 1 Olginatese
13 Mar
Brusaporto
3 : 2 Olginatese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 81:39 | 82 |
| 2 | Legnano | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 49:44 | 66 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 70:44 | 64 |
| 4 | Brusaporto | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 62:49 | 64 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 57:46 | 63 |
| 6 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 65:49 | 63 |
| 7 | Breno | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56:43 | 58 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 66:56 | 58 |
| 9 | Arconatese | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 62:58 | 57 |
| 10 | Franciacorta | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 73:80 | 52 |
| 11 | Crema | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:52 | 46 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 50:55 | 46 |
| 13 | Sona | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43:56 | 45 |
| 14 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 54:56 | 44 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:39 | 44 |
| 16 | Villa Valle | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49:56 | 39 |
| 17 | Caravaggio | 38 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 41:62 | 37 |
| 18 | Vis Nova Giussano | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 56:77 | 35 |
| 19 | Olginatese | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:60 | 35 |
| 20 | AC Leon | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 50:88 | 33 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)
