Sport Picks
Villa Valle vs Real Calepina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
5'
5'
Ravasi R.
25'
25'
Ravasi R.
27'
27'
Bertoni L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Valle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Villa Valle at 1.21 per game, Real Calepina at 1.17.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Villa Valle taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa Valle | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 6, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Real Calepina
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Villa Valle
1:3
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Villa Valle vs Real Calepina
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Real Calepina vs Villa Valle
1:1
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Villa Valle vs Real Calepina
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villa Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Ravasi R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Real Calepina Compare
Top Goalscorer Bertoni L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brero M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villa Valle 77 / 100
Real Calepina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villa Valle Real Calepina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villa Valle found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Real Calepina has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Villa Valle has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Villa Valle VS Real Calepina
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Villa Valle
(Home) 07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1 Tritium
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1 Tritium
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Fiorenzuola
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3 Oltrepo
Page 1 of 3
Real Calepina
(Away) 07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2 AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1 Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1 Real Calepina
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 Real Calepina
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Real Calepina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
