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Villa Valle vs Tritium - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
2 - 1
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Zuddas A.
58' Event
Ravasi R.
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Villa Valle
35%
Draws
13%
Tritium
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villa Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Tritium haven't matched Villa Valle's recent run of results.
  • Villa Valle are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Villa Valle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Villa Valle, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Tritium Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Valle Tritium
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 3
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.23 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Villa Valle vs Tritium
2:1
Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Villa Valle
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Tritium
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Villa Valle
0:2
May 19, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Tritium
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Ravasi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Tritium Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuddas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Valle 95 / 100
Tritium 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Valle Tritium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tritium's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Villa Valle found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Villa Valle stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Valle VS Tritium
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Valle

(Home)
07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1
Tritium
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6

Tritium

(Away)
07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1
Tritium
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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