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Villabiagio vs Romagna Centro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villabiagio in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villabiagio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Villabiagio
35%
Draws
26%
Romagna Centro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villabiagio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villabiagio lately — more wins on the board than Romagna Centro.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Villabiagio Clean Sheet 12%
Romagna Centro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villabiagio Romagna Centro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Villabiagio vs Romagna Centro
1:0
Sep 3, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Romagna Centro vs Villabiagio
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villabiagio 35 / 100
Romagna Centro 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villabiagio Romagna Centro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romagna Centro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villabiagio scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Romagna Centro let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Villabiagio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villabiagio VS Romagna Centro
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villabiagio

(Home)
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3
Villabiagio
29 Apr
Villabiagio
0 : 0
Imolese
22 Apr
Lentigione
4 : 0
Villabiagio
15 Apr
Villabiagio
2 : 2
Sammaurese
08 Apr
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Villabiagio
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Romagna Centro

(Away)
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0
Castelvetro
29 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Romagna Centro
22 Apr
Romagna Centro
0 : 2
Pianese
15 Apr
Rimini
3 : 2
Romagna Centro
08 Apr
Romagna Centro
1 : 2
Fiorenzuola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)