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Villacanas vs Cazalegas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Collazo C.

AI Match Summary

Villacanas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villacanas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Villacanas
30%
Draws
35%
Cazalegas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villacanas lately — more wins on the board than Cazalegas.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Villacanas Clean Sheet 68%
Cazalegas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villacanas Cazalegas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 0.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Cazalegas
1:0
Dec 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Villacanas
0:3
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Cazalegas
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Villacanas
2:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Cazalegas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villacanas Compare

Top Goalscorer Collazo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Cazalegas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villacanas 41 / 100
Cazalegas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villacanas Cazalegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cazalegas conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Villacanas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Cazalegas has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villacanas VS Cazalegas
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villacanas

(Home)
06 Aug
Villacanas
0 : 3
CF Talavera
09 May
Villacanas
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
03 May
Albacete B
1 : 1
Villacanas
25 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 1
La Solana
18 Apr
Toledo
4 : 0
Villacanas
Page 1 of 6

Cazalegas

(Away)
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
Cazalegas
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Cazalegas
19 Apr
Cazalegas
0 : 2
San Clemente
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0
Cazalegas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)