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Villacanas vs Hogar Alcarreno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Villacanas
20%
Draws
10%
Hogar Alcarreno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villacanas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Villacanas have won more games recently than Hogar Alcarreno.
  • Win probability leans Villacanas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Villacanas Clean Sheet 68%
Hogar Alcarreno Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villacanas Hogar Alcarreno
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hogar Alcarreno vs Villacanas
2:2
Dec 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Hogar Alcarreno
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villacanas 95 / 100
Hogar Alcarreno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villacanas Hogar Alcarreno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villacanas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hogar Alcarreno conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Villacanas's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Villacanas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villacanas VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villacanas

(Home)
03 Oct
Villacanas
1 : 2
Toledo
27 Sept
San Clemente
0 : 2
Villacanas
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
Villacanas
3 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 7

Hogar Alcarreno

(Away)
30 Apr
Illescas
2 : 0
Hogar Alcarreno
23 Apr
Hogar Alcarreno
2 : 2
Villacanas
10 Apr
Manchego Ciudad Real
6 : 1
Hogar Alcarreno
02 Apr
Hogar Alcarreno
0 : 3
Conquense
27 Mar
UD Almansa
3 : 2
Hogar Alcarreno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)