Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villacarrillo vs Atarfe Industrial

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Villacarrillo and Atarfe Industrial finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atarfe Industrial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Villacarrillo
15%
Draws
42%
Atarfe Industrial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villacarrillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Atarfe Industrial carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Villacarrillo Clean Sheet 19%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villacarrillo Atarfe Industrial
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Atarfe Industrial
0:0
Oct 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Villacarrillo
1:1
Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Atarfe Industrial
1:2
Aug 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Villacarrillo
1:0
Jan 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Atarfe Industrial
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villacarrillo 32 / 100
Atarfe Industrial 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villacarrillo Atarfe Industrial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villacarrillo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Atarfe Industrial conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Atarfe Industrial's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atarfe Industrial
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villacarrillo

(Home)
13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3
Guadix
06 May
Velez
4 : 0
Villacarrillo
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3
Linares
22 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Villacarrillo
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3
Loja
Page 1 of 6

Atarfe Industrial

(Away)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)