Sport Picks
Villacarrillo vs Guadix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2017/2018 game between Villacarrillo and Guadix finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villacarrillo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villacarrillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Villacarrillo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Villacarrillo a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Guadix here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Villacarrillo Clean Sheet 20%
Guadix Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villacarrillo | Guadix |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.10 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Guadix
6:3
Dec 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Villacarrillo
3:1
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Guadix
2:4
Sep 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Villacarrillo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villacarrillo 85 / 100
Guadix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villacarrillo Guadix
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villacarrillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadix let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Villacarrillo scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Difficult form: Guadix registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Guadix
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Villacarrillo
(Home) 13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3 Guadix
06 May
Velez
4 : 0 Villacarrillo
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3 Linares
22 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0 Villacarrillo
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3 Loja
Page 1 of 7
13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3 Guadix
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3 Linares
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3 Loja
29 Mar
Villacarrillo
1 : 3 Antequera
17 Mar
Villacarrillo
4 : 0 Melistar
Page 1 of 4
Guadix
(Away) 19 May
Antequera
6 : 1 Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3 Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1 Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2 El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0 Guadix
Page 1 of 7
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1 Guadix
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1 Guadix
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0 Guadix
31 Mar
CD Torreperogil
3 : 0 Guadix
17 Mar
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
7 : 1 Guadix
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malaga B | 42 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 95:31 | 96 |
| 2 | Almeria B | 42 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 97:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Jaen | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 58:29 | 82 |
| 4 | Antequera | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 78:37 | 82 |
| 5 | Huetor Tajar | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 77:49 | 82 |
| 6 | Motril | 42 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 85:56 | 81 |
| 7 | Linares | 42 | 23 | 5 | 14 | 68:47 | 74 |
| 8 | Mancha | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 66:46 | 72 |
| 9 | Loja | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 87:63 | 69 |
| 10 | El Palo | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 66:50 | 67 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 79:65 | 67 |
| 12 | Velez | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 60:65 | 56 |
| 13 | Rincon | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 53:61 | 52 |
| 14 | Torremolinos | 42 | 15 | 5 | 22 | 64:76 | 50 |
| 15 | Martos | 42 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 58:85 | 47 |
| 16 | Atarfe Industrial | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 46:69 | 43 |
| 17 | UD San Pedro | 42 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 43:80 | 43 |
| 18 | Huetor Vega | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:74 | 38 |
| 19 | Guadix | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 40:77 | 37 |
| 20 | Maracena | 42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 44:73 | 35 |
| 21 | Villacarrillo | 42 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 44:79 | 28 |
| 22 | Melistar | 42 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 24:132 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
