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Villacarrillo vs Los Molinos CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

Los Molinos CF in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Los Molinos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Villacarrillo
15%
Draws
42%
Los Molinos CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villacarrillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Villacarrillo have won more games recently than Los Molinos CF.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Villacarrillo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Villacarrillo Clean Sheet 16%
Los Molinos CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villacarrillo Los Molinos CF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.26 0.93
Goals Conceded 2 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Los Molinos CF
0:0
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Molinos CF vs Villacarrillo
1:2
Apr 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Los Molinos CF
2:3
Nov 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Molinos CF vs Villacarrillo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villacarrillo 84 / 100
Los Molinos CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villacarrillo Los Molinos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villacarrillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Molinos CF has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Villacarrillo scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Los Molinos CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villacarrillo VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villacarrillo

(Home)
13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3
Guadix
06 May
Velez
4 : 0
Villacarrillo
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3
Linares
22 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Villacarrillo
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3
Loja
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Los Molinos CF

(Away)
17 May
Los Molinos CF
0 : 4
Huetor Tajar
10 May
Maracena
5 : 1
Los Molinos CF
03 May
Los Molinos CF
2 : 1
Martos
26 Apr
Espanol Alquian
2 : 1
Los Molinos CF
19 Apr
Los Molinos CF
0 : 2
Mancha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marbella 38 27 5 6 81:37 86
2 Linares 38 24 10 4 70:28 82
3 Malaga B 38 25 7 6 74:34 82
4 Loja 38 24 7 7 88:44 79
5 Mancha 38 22 6 10 51:31 72
6 Velez 38 19 10 9 60:31 67
7 Martos 38 17 9 12 65:49 60
8 Villacarrillo 38 16 11 11 63:46 59
9 Huetor Tajar 38 14 11 13 36:42 53
10 Atarfe Industrial 38 14 8 16 48:49 50
11 Maracena 38 15 4 19 44:44 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 7 17 58:71 49
13 Antequera 38 12 8 18 43:54 44
14 UD San Pedro 38 11 11 16 34:54 44
15 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 48:58 43
16 Los Molinos CF 38 12 7 19 52:64 43
17 Los Villares 38 12 6 20 36:55 42
18 Melilla B 38 11 7 20 44:66 40
19 AD Huercal 38 4 1 33 29:106 13
20 Union Estepona CF 38 2 4 32 16:77 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)