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Villacarrillo vs Malaga B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Villacarrillo and Malaga B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Villacarrillo
15%
Draws
65%
Malaga B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Malaga B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Malaga B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Villacarrillo Clean Sheet 20%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villacarrillo Malaga B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Villacarrillo
3:0
Nov 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Malaga B
0:1
Mar 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Malaga B
1:1
Nov 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Villacarrillo
2:0
Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Malaga B
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villacarrillo 10 / 100
Malaga B 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villacarrillo Malaga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Villacarrillo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Villacarrillo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malaga B
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villacarrillo

(Home)
13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3
Guadix
06 May
Velez
4 : 0
Villacarrillo
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3
Linares
22 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Villacarrillo
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3
Loja
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Malaga B

(Away)
03 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 0
Granada CF B
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)