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Villafranca vs Aurora Seriate

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Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Villafranca and Aurora Seriate finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Villafranca
17%
Draws
70%
Aurora Seriate
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aurora Seriate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Villafranca haven't matched Aurora Seriate's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Aurora Seriate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Villafranca Clean Sheet 20%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villafranca Aurora Seriate
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Villafranca vs Aurora Seriate
1:1
Sep 7, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Villafranca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villafranca 16 / 100
Aurora Seriate 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villafranca Aurora Seriate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora Seriate has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Villafranca scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Villafranca has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villafranca VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villafranca

(Home)
05 Aug
Villafranca
1 : 2
Clivense
14 May
Montecchio Maggiore
5 : 0
Villafranca
07 May
Virtus Bolzano
0 : 0
Villafranca
30 Apr
Villafranca
0 : 2
Campodarsego
23 Apr
Torviscosa
2 : 2
Villafranca
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Aurora Seriate

(Away)
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3
Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2
Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Castiglione36228654:2674
2Lecco36199865:4266
3Seregno Calcio362051164:3765
4Ciserano361791053:3960
5Virtus Verona361514758:3459
6Pergolettese3615101146:4455
7Olginatese361591244:3454
8Ponte San Pietro3614101250:4252
9Ciliverghe Mazzano361491337:4051
10Sondrio361561546:5051
11Aurora Seriate361481442:4350
12Inveruno3613101347:4849
13Villafranca3612111344:4947
14MapelloBonate3612111336:4847
15Pro Sesto361381538:4147
16Caravaggio361181737:4241
17Folgore Caratese367161334:4037
18Castellana36792036:6130
19Montichiari36123326:975
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)