Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villafranca vs Bellaria Igea

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 game between Villafranca and Bellaria Igea finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Villafranca
30%
Draws
47%
Bellaria Igea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bellaria Igea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villafranca come out ahead of Bellaria Igea on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Bellaria Igea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Villafranca Clean Sheet 20%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villafranca Bellaria Igea
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.44 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Villafranca vs Bellaria Igea
3:1
Nov 8, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Villafranca
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villafranca 28 / 100
Bellaria Igea 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villafranca Bellaria Igea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bellaria Igea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bellaria Igea let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Bellaria Igea's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Villafranca scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villafranca VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villafranca

(Home)
05 Aug
Villafranca
1 : 2
Clivense
14 May
Montecchio Maggiore
5 : 0
Villafranca
07 May
Virtus Bolzano
0 : 0
Villafranca
30 Apr
Villafranca
0 : 2
Campodarsego
23 Apr
Torviscosa
2 : 2
Villafranca
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Bellaria Igea

(Away)
08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1
Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0
Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0
Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0
Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2
Arzignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma 38 28 10 0 82:17 94
2 Altovicentino 38 23 8 7 84:43 77
3 Forli FC 38 19 12 7 69:46 69
4 San Marino Calcio 38 17 14 7 55:41 65
5 Correggese 38 18 10 10 66:49 64
6 Imolese 38 18 9 11 63:41 63
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 18 7 13 68:51 61
8 Ribelle 38 18 7 13 63:54 61
9 Lentigione 38 17 8 13 53:51 59
10 Sammaurese 38 15 9 14 53:49 54
11 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 60:54 53
12 Legnago Salus 38 12 15 11 55:54 51
13 Ravenna 38 9 17 12 50:59 44
14 Romagna Centro 38 11 11 16 40:51 44
15 Virtus Castelfranco 38 10 12 16 50:59 42
16 Mezzolara 38 7 14 17 30:55 35
17 Villafranca 38 8 9 21 45:63 33
18 Bellaria Igea 38 6 11 21 38:76 29
19 Clodiense 38 7 6 25 35:81 27
20 Fortis Juventus 38 2 7 29 32:97 13
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)