Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2015/2016

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villafranca host Bellaria Igea in the Serie D - Group D 2015/2016. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Villafranca at 0.63 goals for, 1.25 against; Bellaria Igea at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Villafranca slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2016, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.13, favoring Villafranca. Villafranca in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Villafranca

33%

Draws

40%

Bellaria Igea

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bellaria Igea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Villafranca has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bellaria Igea.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Bellaria Igea.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Villafranca Clean Sheet 20%

Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villafranca	Bellaria Igea
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	7	5
Draws	9	9
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	0.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2016 Serie D - Group D

Villafranca vs Bellaria Igea

Possession: 60% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

3:1

Nov 8, 2015 Serie D - Group D

Bellaria Igea vs Villafranca

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villafranca 28 / 100

Bellaria Igea 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villafranca Bellaria Igea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villafranca scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Bellaria Igea let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Villafranca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bellaria Igea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villafranca VS -

0.63 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Parma	38	28	10	0	82:17	94
2	Altovicentino	38	23	8	7	84:43	77
3	Forli FC	38	19	12	7	69:46	69
4	San Marino Calcio	38	17	14	7	55:41	65
5	Correggese	38	18	10	10	66:49	64
6	Imolese	38	18	9	11	63:41	63
7	Delta Porto Tolle	38	18	7	13	68:51	61
8	Ribelle	38	18	7	13	63:54	61
9	Lentigione	38	17	8	13	53:51	59
10	Sammaurese	38	15	9	14	53:49	54
11	Arzignano	38	15	8	15	60:54	53
12	Legnago Salus	38	12	15	11	55:54	51
13	Ravenna	38	9	17	12	50:59	44
14	Romagna Centro	38	11	11	16	40:51	44
15	Virtus Castelfranco	38	10	12	16	50:59	42
16	Mezzolara	38	7	14	17	30:55	35
17	Villafranca	38	8	9	21	45:63	33
18	Bellaria Igea	38	6	11	21	38:76	29
19	Clodiense	38	7	6	25	35:81	27
20	Fortis Juventus	38	2	7	29	32:97	13