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Stadium Background

Villalonga vs CD Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villalonga in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Villalonga
15%
Draws
21%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villalonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villalonga lately — more wins on the board than CD Castro.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Villalonga Clean Sheet 16%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villalonga CD Castro
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.12 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs CD Castro
4:1
Oct 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Villalonga
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villalonga 30 / 100
CD Castro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villalonga CD Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villalonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: CD Castro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Villalonga found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Villalonga VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villalonga

(Home)
16 Aug
Villalonga
0 : 2
Pontevedra
26 Jul
Villalonga
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
11 May
Villalonga
2 : 1
Estradense
04 May
Gran Pena
3 : 1
Villalonga
01 May
Villalonga
0 : 3
Betanzos CF
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CD Castro

(Away)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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