Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villalonga vs Somozas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Crespo M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 game between Villalonga and Somozas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Villalonga
30%
Draws
47%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Somozas come out ahead of Villalonga on wins alone.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Villalonga Clean Sheet 21%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villalonga Somozas
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 13
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Somozas
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Villalonga
1:2
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Villalonga
5:1
Dec 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Somozas
0:3
Feb 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Somozas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villalonga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villalonga 16 / 100
Somozas 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villalonga Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Somozas let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Villalonga's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Villalonga has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Somozas
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villalonga

(Home)
16 Aug
Villalonga
0 : 2
Pontevedra
26 Jul
Villalonga
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
11 May
Villalonga
2 : 1
Estradense
04 May
Gran Pena
3 : 1
Villalonga
01 May
Villalonga
0 : 3
Betanzos CF
Page 1 of 6

Somozas

(Away)
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)