Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villalonga vs Valladares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Freiria M.
90'
Barbeito J.
90'
Barbeito J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 game between Villalonga and Valladares finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valladares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Villalonga
30%
Draws
47%
Valladares
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valladares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Villalonga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Valladares a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Villalonga Clean Sheet 20%
Valladares Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villalonga Valladares
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Valladares
0:1
Dec 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Valladares vs Villalonga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villalonga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Valladares Compare

Top Goalscorer Freiria M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villalonga 16 / 100
Valladares 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villalonga Valladares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valladares Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valladares's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Villalonga scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Villalonga went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villalonga VS Valladares
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villalonga

(Home)
16 Aug
Villalonga
0 : 2
Pontevedra
26 Jul
Villalonga
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
11 May
Villalonga
2 : 1
Estradense
04 May
Gran Pena
3 : 1
Villalonga
01 May
Villalonga
0 : 3
Betanzos CF
Page 1 of 6

Valladares

(Away)
11 May
Valladares
3 : 1
Silva SD
03 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Valladares
27 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0
Gran Pena
20 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Valladares
17 Apr
Valladares
2 : 2
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)