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Villanovense vs CD Badajoz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Matansio B.
47' Event
Bravo C.
49' Event
Alegria A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Villanovense and CD Badajoz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Villanovense
30%
Draws
37%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Villanovense are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CD Badajoz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 17%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanovense CD Badajoz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.31 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs CD Badajoz
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Villanovense
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Villanovense vs CD Badajoz
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Badajoz vs Villanovense
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Villanovense vs CD Badajoz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villanovense Compare

Top Goalscorer Matansio B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bravo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alegria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanovense 41 / 100
CD Badajoz 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanovense CD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villanovense found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Villanovense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD Badajoz let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Villanovense VS CD Badajoz
0.71 Goals Scored 2
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 100%
14% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villanovense

(Home)
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1
Villanovense
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
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CD Badajoz

(Away)
04 Oct
Sevilla B
2 : 2
CD Badajoz
27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0
CD Badajoz
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1
Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)