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Villanovense vs Don Benito

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Munoz S.
32' Event
Platero P.
38' Event
Lopez C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Don Benito in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Don Benito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Villanovense
20%
Draws
38%
Don Benito
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villanovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Don Benito have won more games recently than Villanovense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 11%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanovense Don Benito
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.23 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Don Benito
0:5
Oct 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Villanovense
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Villanovense vs Don Benito
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Don Benito vs Villanovense
0:0
Apr 15, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Don Benito vs Villanovense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villanovense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Don Benito Compare

Top Goalscorer Platero P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanovense 30 / 100
Don Benito 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanovense Don Benito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Villanovense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Villanovense scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Don Benito has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villanovense VS Don Benito
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villanovense

(Home)
29 Jul
Villanovense
0 : 2
Cacereno
10 May
Villanovense
0 : 1
Jaraiz
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0
Jerez CF
19 Apr
Villanovense
3 : 2
Cabeza del Buey
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Don Benito

(Away)
08 Aug
Don Benito
2 : 2
CD Extremadura
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1
Don Benito
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1
CD Diocesano
26 Apr
SP Villafranca
1 : 0
Don Benito
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)