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Villanueva CF vs CD Carinena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Villanueva CF and CD Carinena finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Carinena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Villanueva CF
35%
Draws
24%
CD Carinena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villanueva CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villanueva CF come out ahead of CD Carinena on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Villanueva CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Carinena have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Villanueva CF Clean Sheet 20%
CD Carinena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanueva CF CD Carinena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 17
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Villanueva CF vs CD Carinena
1:5
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Villanueva CF
2:2
Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Villanueva CF
1:0
Oct 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Villanueva CF vs CD Carinena
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanueva CF 42 / 100
CD Carinena 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanueva CF CD Carinena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Carinena has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Villanueva CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Villanueva CF found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Carinena
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villanueva CF

(Home)
13 Jun
Fraga
1 : 2
Villanueva CF
06 Jun
Villanueva CF
3 : 0
San Juan Zaragoza
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Villanueva CF
0 : 2
Atletico Monzon
16 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Villanueva CF
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CD Carinena

(Away)
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Huesca B
1 : 1
CD Carinena
26 Apr
CD Carinena
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1
CD Carinena
12 Apr
CD Carinena
2 : 2
CD Caspe
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