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Villanueva CF vs Fraga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Villanueva CF and Fraga finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fraga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Villanueva CF
30%
Draws
37%
Fraga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fraga come out ahead of Villanueva CF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fraga a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Villanueva CF Clean Sheet 20%
Fraga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanueva CF Fraga
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Villanueva CF
1:2
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Villanueva CF vs Fraga
0:1
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Villanueva CF
0:0
Dec 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Villanueva CF vs Fraga
1:4
Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Villanueva CF vs Fraga
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanueva CF 28 / 100
Fraga 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanueva CF Fraga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraga has conceded goals in 65% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Villanueva CF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Villanueva CF scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fraga
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villanueva CF

(Home)
13 Jun
Fraga
1 : 2
Villanueva CF
06 Jun
Villanueva CF
3 : 0
San Juan Zaragoza
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Villanueva CF
0 : 2
Atletico Monzon
16 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Villanueva CF
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Fraga

(Away)
04 Oct
Fraga
1 : 2
Zaragoza B
26 Sept
Huesca B
0 : 0
Fraga
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
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