Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sanchez B.
89' Event
Garcia I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 game between Villanueva del Pardillo CF and Alcorcon B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
30%
Draws
62%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Alcorcon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alcorcon B a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 24%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanueva del Pardillo CF Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1:3
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Alcorcon B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanueva del Pardillo CF 10 / 100
Alcorcon B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Villanueva del Pardillo CF remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcorcon B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villanueva del Pardillo CF

(Home)
12 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 2
Tres Cantos
05 May
Canillas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
01 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
0 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
28 Apr
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
21 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Page 1 of 6

Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid C 34 23 7 4 62:18 76
2 CD Mostoles 34 17 12 5 57:33 63
3 Leganes B 34 16 10 8 47:33 58
4 CD Las Rozas 34 13 11 10 51:39 50
5 Colonia Moscardo 34 14 8 12 48:48 50
6 RSD Alcala 34 13 9 12 52:47 48
7 Tres Cantos 34 14 6 14 45:48 48
8 Alcorcon B 34 11 12 11 36:33 45
9 AD Torrejon 34 9 17 8 40:38 44
10 Galapagar 34 10 11 13 44:55 41
11 Paracuellos Antamira 34 10 10 14 39:47 40
12 Trival Valderas 34 8 16 10 33:40 40
13 Canillas 34 10 10 14 35:46 40
14 Collado Villalba 34 10 9 15 42:46 39
15 Rayo Vallecano B 34 11 6 17 43:57 39
16 Parla 34 9 11 14 37:47 38
17 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
18 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 5 14 15 28:52 29
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 (Play Offs)