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Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villanueva del Pardillo CF play Alcorcon B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villanueva del Pardillo CF averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Alcorcon B averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Villanueva del Pardillo CF won 1, Alcorcon B won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 24, 2024 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Villanueva del Pardillo CF and 0.93 for Alcorcon B. This points to a Villanueva del Pardillo CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
31%
Draws
34%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Villanueva del Pardillo CF picked up more points recently compared to Alcorcon B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 24%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanueva del Pardillo CF Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1:3
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Alcorcon B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanueva del Pardillo CF 36 / 100
Alcorcon B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Alcorcon B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villanueva del Pardillo CF or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villanueva del Pardillo CF attacking → ← attacking Alcorcon B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villanueva del Pardillo CF scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Alcorcon B let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Alcorcon B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 46
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Madrid C34237462:1876
2CD Mostoles341712557:3363
3Leganes B341610847:3358
4CD Las Rozas3413111051:3950
5Colonia Moscardo341481248:4850
6RSD Alcala341391252:4748
7Tres Cantos341461445:4848
8Alcorcon B3411121136:3345
9AD Torrejon34917840:3844
10Galapagar3410111344:5541
11Paracuellos Antamira3410101439:4740
12Trival Valderas348161033:4040
13Canillas3410101435:4640
14Collado Villalba341091542:4639
15Rayo Vallecano B341161743:5739
16Parla349111437:4738
17Villanueva del Pardillo CF348111527:3935
18Pozuelo de Alarcon345141528:5229