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Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Rayo Vallecano B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Cuellar A.
70'
Alcolado J.
73'
Ramos I.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Vallecano B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
11%
Draws
9%
Rayo Vallecano B
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rayo Vallecano B lately — more wins on the board than Villanueva del Pardillo CF.
  • Villanueva del Pardillo CF are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Rayo Vallecano B have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanueva del Pardillo CF Rayo Vallecano B
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Rayo Vallecano B
0:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
0:4
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:3
Oct 31, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Rayo Vallecano B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuellar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanueva del Pardillo CF 86 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Rayo Vallecano B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Vallecano B let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Rayo Vallecano B has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Rayo Vallecano B
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Madrid C34237462:1876
2CD Mostoles341712557:3363
3Leganes B341610847:3358
4CD Las Rozas3413111051:3950
5Colonia Moscardo341481248:4850
6RSD Alcala341391252:4748
7Tres Cantos341461445:4848
8Alcorcon B3411121136:3345
9AD Torrejon34917840:3844
10Galapagar3410111344:5541
11Paracuellos Antamira3410101439:4740
12Trival Valderas348161033:4040
13Canillas3410101435:4640
14Collado Villalba341091542:4639
15Rayo Vallecano B341161743:5739
16Parla349111437:4738
17Villanueva del Pardillo CF348111527:3935
18Pozuelo de Alarcon345141528:5229