Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villaralbo vs Arandina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cepeda D.
74' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

Villaralbo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villaralbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Villaralbo
35%
Draws
40%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villaralbo lately — more wins on the board than Arandina.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 68%
Arandina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaralbo Arandina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Arandina
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Villaralbo
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Villaralbo
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Arandina
0:1
Apr 30, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Arandina
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villaralbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cepeda D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Arandina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaralbo 41 / 100
Arandina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaralbo Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villaralbo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaralbo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Arandina conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Villaralbo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villaralbo VS Arandina
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villaralbo

(Home)
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
Page 1 of 6

Arandina

(Away)
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)