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Villaralbo vs Cuellar Balompie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 game between Villaralbo and Cuellar Balompie finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villaralbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Villaralbo
30%
Draws
12%
Cuellar Balompie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villaralbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villaralbo come out ahead of Cuellar Balompie on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Villaralbo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 20%
Cuellar Balompie Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaralbo Cuellar Balompie
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.19 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Cuellar Balompie
2:0
Nov 24, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Cuellar Balompie vs Villaralbo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaralbo 85 / 100
Cuellar Balompie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaralbo Cuellar Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villaralbo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuellar Balompie has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Villaralbo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Villaralbo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villaralbo VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villaralbo

(Home)
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
Page 1 of 7

Cuellar Balompie

(Away)
19 May
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 1
Unami CP
12 May
La Granja
1 : 1
Cuellar Balompie
05 May
Burgos CF
4 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
27 Apr
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 5
Real Avila
20 Apr
Villaralbo
2 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)