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Villaralbo vs Mansilles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
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Match Events

27' Event
Odetola D.
90'
Rodriguez L.

AI Match Summary

Villaralbo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villaralbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Villaralbo
35%
Draws
45%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Villaralbo haven't matched Mansilles's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Villaralbo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 17%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaralbo Mansilles
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Mansilles
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Villaralbo
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Mansilles
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Villaralbo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villaralbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Odetola D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mansilles Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaralbo 31 / 100
Mansilles 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaralbo Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaralbo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Villaralbo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mansilles let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Villaralbo VS Mansilles
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villaralbo

(Home)
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
Page 1 of 6

Mansilles

(Away)
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)