Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villarreal C vs La Nucia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Castillo Ortega L.
74' Event
Cantero D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 game between Villarreal C and La Nucia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Villarreal C
22%
Draws
18%
La Nucia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Villarreal C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • La Nucia have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — Villarreal C are scoring more at 2.
  • Model gives Villarreal C a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Villarreal C Clean Sheet 68%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal C La Nucia
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 17
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Villarreal C vs La Nucia
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Villarreal C
1:3
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Villarreal C
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Villarreal C vs La Nucia
0:2
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Villarreal C
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal C Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

La Nucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo Ortega L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal C 68 / 100
La Nucia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal C La Nucia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Villarreal C scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Villarreal C remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

La Nucia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal C VS La Nucia
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Castellonense34207756:3067
2Atletico Saguntino34206850:3066
3Levante B341811554:2665
4Villarreal C34196963:3663
5La Nucia341613544:2661
6CD Bunol3413111034:4050
7Vall de Uxo3413101131:2949
8Ontinyent 1931 CF341391232:3048
9Torrellano341381340:3847
10Soneja341361535:4245
11Hercules B3410111331:4641
12Roda341171632:4540
13Crevillente349111444:4938
14Jove341081635:4438
15Atzeneta341071729:3937
16Utiel347101730:4531
17Alzira347101732:4931
18Recambios Colon342131927:5519