Sport Picks
Villarreal vs Dep. A Coruna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal 
Match Events
19'
19'
Pepe N.
Assist: Perez A.
43'
43'
Cruz L.
Assist: Aubameyang P.
54'
54'
Sub
Rodriguez R. In: Hernandez Y.
Out: Rodriguez R.
AI Match Summary
Dep. A Coruna in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. A Coruna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villarreal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Villarreal have won more games recently than Dep. A Coruna.
- Model gives Villarreal a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 13%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villarreal | Dep. A Coruna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Dep. A Coruna
2:3
May 12, 2018 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Villarreal
2:4
Jan 7, 2018 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Dep. A Coruna
1:1
May 14, 2017 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Dep. A Coruna
0:0
Jan 14, 2017 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Villarreal
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villarreal Compare
Top Goalscorer Pepe N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Dep. A Coruna Compare
Top Goalscorer Cruz L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eddahchouri Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villarreal 66 / 100
Dep. A Coruna 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villarreal Dep. A Coruna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villarreal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villarreal found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Dep. A Coruna conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Villarreal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Villarreal VS Dep. A Coruna
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Villarreal
(Home) 20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1 Levante
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3 Villarreal
14 Sept
Villarreal
1 : 2 Betis
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3 Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1 Levante
14 Sept
Villarreal
1 : 2 Betis
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3 Dep. A Coruna
05 Aug
Villarreal
1 : 0 Levante
29 Jul
Villarreal
2 : 1 Como
Page 1 of 3
Dep. A Coruna
(Away) 02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3 FC Porto
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2 Dep. A Coruna
20 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1 Betis
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1 Sevilla
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1 Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2 Dep. A Coruna
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1 Dep. A Coruna
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3 Dep. A Coruna
24 Aug
Malaga
1 : 1 Dep. A Coruna
08 Aug
Genoa
0 : 1 Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 12 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
