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Villarreal W vs Valencia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Ciudad Deportiva del Villareal, Villarreal
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Macias M.
66' Event
Ferrato C.
69' Event
Quesada M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Villarreal W
20%
Draws
0%
Valencia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villarreal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Valencia W have won more games recently than Villarreal W.
  • Villarreal W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Villarreal W Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal W Valencia W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Valencia W vs Villarreal W
1:1
May 23, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs Valencia W
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs Valencia W
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Valencia W vs Villarreal W
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Valencia W vs Villarreal W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Macias M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miguelez Martinez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Valencia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrato C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal W 68 / 100
Valencia W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal W Valencia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Valencia W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Villarreal W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Valencia W conceded in 69% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal W VS Valencia W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarreal W

(Home)
04 Oct
Sport Extremadura CD W
1 : 0
Villarreal W
26 Sept
Villarreal W
1 : 1
Athletic Bilbao B W
19 Sept
Real Union W
1 : 2
Villarreal W
13 Sept
Tenerife B W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
03 Sept
Levante W
4 : 1
Villarreal W
Page 1 of 6

Valencia W

(Away)
04 Oct
Valencia W
0 : 1
Real Sociedad W
27 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1
Valencia W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3
Madrid CFF W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 26 18 4 4 67:26 58
2 Alaves W 26 17 5 4 44:15 56
3 Valencia W 26 12 10 4 35:18 46
4 Real Madrid B W 26 12 5 9 35:27 41
5 Tenerife B W 26 11 6 9 34:36 39
6 Villarreal W 26 10 8 8 35:31 38
7 CA Osasuna W 26 9 6 11 30:26 33
8 Albacete W 26 8 9 9 25:33 33
9 Cacereno W 26 8 7 11 22:33 31
10 Atl. Madrid B W 26 8 7 11 26:32 31
11 SE AEM W 26 8 6 12 26:36 30
12 CE Europa W 26 6 5 15 29:47 23
13 Betis W 26 5 8 13 24:48 23
14 Real Oviedo W 26 4 6 16 18:42 18
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)