Sport Picks

Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Ciudad Deportiva del Villareal

Valencia W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villarreal W play Valencia W in the Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villarreal W averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Valencia W averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Villarreal W won 0, Valencia W won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Villarreal W and 1.44 for Valencia W. This points to a Valencia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Villarreal W

35%

Draws

36%

Valencia W

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valencia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Villarreal W picked up more points recently compared to Valencia W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Villarreal W Clean Sheet 16%

Valencia W Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villarreal W	Valencia W
Matches Played	31	37
Wins	13	19
Draws	10	13
Losses	8	5
Goals Scored	1.42	1.73
Goals Conceded	1.16	0.81
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera Federacion Women

Valencia W vs Villarreal W

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

May 23, 2026 Primera Federacion Women

Villarreal W vs Valencia W

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Mar 15, 2026 Primera Federacion Women

Villarreal W vs Valencia W

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Nov 15, 2025 Primera Federacion Women

Valencia W vs Villarreal W

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly Women

Valencia W vs Villarreal W

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal W 29 / 100

Valencia W 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villarreal W Valencia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Valencia W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villarreal W attacking → ← attacking Valencia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Valencia W let in goals in 57% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Villarreal W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Valencia W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 70

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88