Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Villarrobledo in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarrobledo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villarrobledo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Villarrobledo have won more games recently than Alcazar.
- Win probability leans Villarrobledo's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Villarrobledo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 20%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Alcazar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 2 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.95 | 3.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Villarrobledo
2:3
Jan 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Alcazar
5:2
Jan 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Alcazar
3:1
Aug 25, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Villarrobledo
0:1
Jan 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Villarrobledo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villarrobledo 85 / 100
Alcazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villarrobledo Alcazar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alcazar let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Villarrobledo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (41 games).
Villarrobledo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Villarrobledo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villarrobledo
(Home) 27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0 Noblejas
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4 Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0 Villarrobledo
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1 Yeclano
Page 1 of 9
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0 Noblejas
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1 Yeclano
03 May
Villarrobledo
0 : 0 Illescas
12 Apr
Villarrobledo
0 : 0 Albacete B
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Alcazar
(Away) 16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3 Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0 Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0 Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0 Atletico Ibanes
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10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0 Alcazar
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0 Alcazar
05 Apr
Almagro
1 : 0 Alcazar
02 Apr
CD Puertollano
5 : 1 Alcazar
22 Mar
La Gineta
4 : 0 Alcazar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Puertollano | 38 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 88:18 | 98 |
| 2 | Socuellamos | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 72:26 | 83 |
| 3 | Villarrobledo | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 80:32 | 76 |
| 4 | UD Almansa | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 53:36 | 72 |
| 5 | CF Talavera | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:34 | 72 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 48:56 | 58 |
| 7 | CD Pedroneras | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:50 | 54 |
| 8 | La Gineta | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 51:55 | 48 |
| 9 | Atletico Ibanes | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 44:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Quintanar del Rey | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Manzanares | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:46 | 45 |
| 12 | Albacete B | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 45:58 | 43 |
| 13 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43:54 | 43 |
| 14 | Hellin Deportivo | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 35:40 | 43 |
| 15 | Alcazar | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:56 | 41 |
| 16 | Mora CF | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 37:63 | 40 |
| 17 | Madridejos | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 30:41 | 38 |
| 18 | Illescas | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 39:59 | 36 |
| 19 | Azuqueca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 36:53 | 36 |
| 20 | EF Zona 5 Albacete | 38 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 34:97 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
