Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villarrubia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Villarrubia have won more games recently than Alcazar.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Villarrubia taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 20%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villarrubia | Alcazar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 1 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 3.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Alcazar
4:3
Sep 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Villarrubia
0:1
Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Alcazar
2:2
Oct 30, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Villarrubia
1:1
Mar 31, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Villarrubia
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villarrubia 85 / 100
Alcazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villarrubia Alcazar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villarrubia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alcazar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Villarrubia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Villarrubia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Villarrubia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villarrubia
(Home) 04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1 Torrijos
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0 Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4 Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1 Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1 San Clemente
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04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1 Torrijos
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4 Villarrobledo
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1 San Clemente
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
25 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 2 Marchamalo
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Alcazar
(Away) 16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3 Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0 Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0 Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0 Atletico Ibanes
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10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0 Alcazar
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0 Alcazar
05 Apr
Almagro
1 : 0 Alcazar
02 Apr
CD Puertollano
5 : 1 Alcazar
22 Mar
La Gineta
4 : 0 Alcazar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Puertollano | 38 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 88:18 | 98 |
| 2 | Socuellamos | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 72:26 | 83 |
| 3 | Villarrobledo | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 80:32 | 76 |
| 4 | UD Almansa | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 53:36 | 72 |
| 5 | CF Talavera | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:34 | 72 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 48:56 | 58 |
| 7 | CD Pedroneras | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:50 | 54 |
| 8 | La Gineta | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 51:55 | 48 |
| 9 | Atletico Ibanes | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 44:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Quintanar del Rey | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Manzanares | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:46 | 45 |
| 12 | Albacete B | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 45:58 | 43 |
| 13 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43:54 | 43 |
| 14 | Hellin Deportivo | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 35:40 | 43 |
| 15 | Alcazar | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:56 | 41 |
| 16 | Mora CF | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 37:63 | 40 |
| 17 | Madridejos | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 30:41 | 38 |
| 18 | Illescas | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 39:59 | 36 |
| 19 | Azuqueca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 36:53 | 36 |
| 20 | EF Zona 5 Albacete | 38 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 34:97 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
