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Villarrubia vs CD Tarancon

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Villarrubia Logo

Villarrubia

2 - 1
FT
CD Tarancon Logo

CD Tarancon

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Valverde M.
63' Event
Jimenez A.
71' Event
Eboko M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Villarrubia and CD Tarancon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarrubia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Villarrubia
30%
Draws
39%
CD Tarancon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Tarancon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CD Tarancon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Tarancon are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 15%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrubia CD Tarancon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.23 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs CD Tarancon
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villarrubia
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs CD Tarancon
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villarrubia
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villarrubia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eboko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

CD Tarancon Compare

Top Goalscorer Valverde M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrubia 15 / 100
CD Tarancon 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrubia CD Tarancon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Villarrubia scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

CD Tarancon let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Villarrubia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villarrubia VS CD Tarancon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrubia

(Home)
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
03 May
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 0
Villarrubia
25 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 2
Marchamalo
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 6

CD Tarancon

(Away)
23 May
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
Cazalegas
03 May
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 3
CD Tarancon
25 Apr
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)