Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Villarrubia

1 - 0

Manchego Ciudad Real

Our Tip

Match Events

62'

Gallardo A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Villarrubia and Manchego Ciudad Real finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarrubia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Villarrubia

28%

Draws

22%

Manchego Ciudad Real

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Manchego Ciudad Real come out ahead of Villarrubia on wins alone.
Model gives Villarrubia a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Villarrubia Clean Sheet 68%

Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villarrubia	Manchego Ciudad Real
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	13	17
Draws	6	8
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Villarrubia vs Manchego Ciudad Real

1:0

Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manchego Ciudad Real vs Villarrubia

1:1

Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manchego Ciudad Real vs Villarrubia

1:2

Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Villarrubia vs Manchego Ciudad Real

2:0

Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manchego Ciudad Real vs Villarrubia

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallardo A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrubia 59 / 100

Manchego Ciudad Real 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villarrubia Manchego Ciudad Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarrubia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Villarrubia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Manchego Ciudad Real let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Villarrubia VS Manchego Ciudad Real

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrubia

(Home)

09 May

Villarrubia

1 : 0

Huracan de Balazote

03 May

CD Guadalajara B

2 : 0

Villarrubia

25 Apr

Villarrubia

2 : 2

Marchamalo

19 Apr

Azuqueca

2 : 2

Villarrubia

11 Apr

Villarrubia

2 : 1

Sonseca

Page 1 of 6

Manchego Ciudad Real

(Away)

06 Jun

Albacete B

3 : 0

Manchego Ciudad Real

30 May

Manchego Ciudad Real

2 : 0

Albacete B

23 May

CD Tarancon

0 : 1

Manchego Ciudad Real

17 May

Manchego Ciudad Real

0 : 0

CD Tarancon

10 May

Illescas

0 : 0

Manchego Ciudad Real

Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Puertollano C.F.	34	22	8	4	54:21	74
2	CD Tarancon	34	22	7	5	62:25	73
3	Toledo	34	19	11	4	55:17	68
4	Albacete B	34	17	13	4	49:17	64
5	Manchego Ciudad Real	34	18	7	9	52:29	61
6	Villarrubia	34	15	8	11	42:35	53
7	Villacanas	34	12	12	10	29:26	48
8	San Clemente	34	12	11	11	36:44	47
9	CD Guadalajara B	34	11	10	13	30:37	43
10	Villarrobledo	34	10	13	11	30:36	43
11	Huracan de Balazote	34	12	5	17	33:45	41
12	Illescas	34	8	13	13	21:32	37
13	Marchamalo	34	10	7	17	38:47	37
14	La Solana	34	8	11	15	26:38	35
15	Azuqueca	34	7	13	14	34:39	34
16	CD Pedroneras	34	7	12	15	28:43	33
17	Sonseca	34	5	7	22	28:69	22
18	Cazalegas	34	4	6	24	17:64	18

Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 (Play Offs)