Sport Picks
Villarrubia vs Marchamalo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Alcantara A.
13'
13'
Rubio A.
32'
32'
Christian
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marchamalo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Villarrubia haven't matched Marchamalo's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Marchamalo taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 18%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villarrubia | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Marchamalo
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Villarrubia
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Marchamalo
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Villarrubia
0:1
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Villarrubia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villarrubia Compare
Top Goalscorer Christian
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Marchamalo Compare
Top Goalscorer Alcantara A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rubio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villarrubia 12 / 100
Marchamalo 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villarrubia Marchamalo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villarrubia scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Marchamalo conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Villarrubia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Villarrubia VS Marchamalo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Villarrubia
(Home) 04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1 Torrijos
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0 Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4 Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1 Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1 San Clemente
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1 Torrijos
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4 Villarrobledo
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1 San Clemente
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
25 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 2 Marchamalo
Page 1 of 3
Marchamalo
(Away) 03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
15 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 1 Marchamalo
12 Aug
CD Daganzo
0 : 2 Marchamalo
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0 Marchamalo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54:21 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:17 | 68 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 49:17 | 64 |
| 5 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 61 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 29:26 | 48 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:44 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Illescas | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21:32 | 37 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 14 | La Solana | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 16 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 28:43 | 33 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28:69 | 22 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
