Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villarrubia vs Sonseca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Sanchez A.
85' Event
Martin Benitez A.
88' Event
Dominguez M.

AI Match Summary

Villarrubia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarrubia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Villarrubia
30%
Draws
35%
Sonseca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villarrubia lately — more wins on the board than Sonseca.
  • Model gives Villarrubia a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 68%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrubia Sonseca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Sonseca
2:1
Jan 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs Villarrubia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin Benitez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sonseca Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrubia 68 / 100
Sonseca 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrubia Sonseca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrubia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonseca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Villarrubia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Villarrubia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villarrubia VS Sonseca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrubia

(Home)
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
03 May
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 0
Villarrubia
25 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 2
Marchamalo
Page 1 of 6

Sonseca

(Away)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)