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Villaverde Norte vs Lanzarote - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Aguiar A.
68' Event
Hernandez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Villaverde Norte and Lanzarote finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Villaverde Norte
35%
Draws
54%
Lanzarote
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lanzarote

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lanzarote come out ahead of Villaverde Norte on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lanzarote a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Villaverde Norte Clean Sheet 19%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaverde Norte Lanzarote
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 0 8
Draws 1 13
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villaverde Norte vs Lanzarote
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villaverde Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguiar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Lanzarote Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaverde Norte 28 / 100
Lanzarote 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaverde Norte Lanzarote

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaverde Norte scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Lanzarote has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Villaverde Norte has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villaverde Norte VS Lanzarote
0.6 Goals Scored 1
1.6 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 13%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villaverde Norte

(Home)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0
Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte

Lanzarote

(Away)
03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2
Lanzarote
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)